Luke Janssen

Jumping off stuff

Archive for Observations and Ramblings

Mint.com rocks

I saw this video by the guy who started Mint.com, which I use and think is excellent. What I love about Mint is that it is simple, it does what you want it to, but no more, and it looks pretty and just works well…

The speech is quite good too if you are interested in starting up a company like he did. see it here: http://vimeo.com/6960507

What I found quite interesting is the VC / money raising opportunities in the USA. We just didn’t have that in Australia when we first started out, which is good and bad. Good because we still own and control the whole company, but bad because we did have, and still do have some personal hardship.

Aaron Patzer talks about how he had to ‘barely survive’ on US$30k a year in SF. I know that Olly, Dean and I would have loved $30k a year in the first year (or two!); as it was we each went almost $30k in credit card debt (Thanks KPMG for giving me a good enough rating to sustain that amount!).

Haha thats sounding like a ‘you never had it as hard as me’ story!… but I do tip my hat to Aaron, who built and sold Mint for $170m within 3 years! half the time we have been around, which is very impressive considering he did nothing new or innovative. Just executed really well with really good usability!

Part of me wishes he had continued and taken on the big guys and beaten them. I reckon he could have!

Magazine iPhone apps

Magazines!… grow some balls and charge for your iPhone and Blackberry apps. I hear so much whining about ‘oh the BBC is stealing all my eyeballs‘ or ‘boo-hoo the advertising revenues are down‘, well here is your chance to make some subscription revenue and you are squandering it!

iPhone 3.0 can handle subscriptions….  nice ongoing subscription revenue. Even $1 a month would help. I read the telegraph every day on iPhone and I would gladly pay that, and people will gladly pay as long as that becomes the norm. But they won’ t pay if people like Business week are pulling their pants down and destroying the model early.

Business week bringing out a free iPhone app is the WRONG approach. You don’t give away business week for free at the newsstands do you? I hear alot of back pedaling by publishers lead my Murdoch who is now trying to charge for on-line content when it was free before. This is the right idea, but its like closing the gate (10 years) after the horse has bolted.

Now we have a new horse and are thinking of putting him in a pen with no gate again!… why?.  Magazines have a price, and also advertising revenues. Why change the business model just because the medium changes? Sure you don’t have printing costs, but you still have to pay journalists, who are being laid off faster than something very fast that I can’t think of right now.. And it doesn’t seem bad now, but believe me, we don’t want to wake up in 10 years to find out that we live in a world where journalists have been replaced by bedroom bloggers and Twitter!

So like I said – grow some balls, and charge for your valuable content (unless you think it isn’t valuable) AND get advertising revenue too – just like you do for the actual magazine. You never know you might actually make some money!… and as a bonus, you could save journalism too!

Aussies punching above their weight

A while ago I was wondering which country had the highest number of iPhones per capita because I suspected it was Australaia. I was wrong it was the USA, but Australia was 2nd, so I was almost right.

iphone by country

Because of Australia’s mini population, they are not that far behind the USA for number of iPhones per capita.

I think that Australia is punching above its weight in many areas. Take a look at the Olympic medals per capita from the Beijing Oympics. Australia is really the most impressive in that list. Truly winning things rather than just having a small population (Australia has more than double the next most poulous country in that list)

gold per country

I think that because Australia is pretty far away and isolated,  they are overcompensating in areas like sports and innovation.

We have looked the usual suspects for cheap technical development teams all over the world – India, China, Canada, Eastern Europe, and to be honest, the best value development in the world is in Australia. Like they are in sports they are innovative, creative, smart, good attitude… etc… they aren’t as cheap as some of those other places, but for what you get they are the best value.

I would even say they are at least as good if not better than the best dev in the USA, but probably cost half as much.

iPhone 3G, or 3GS?

The name reminds me of the Porsche Boxter S or the Aston Martin DBS. Not sure if that was what they were going for. Anyway the new phone was announced on 8th June at WWDC.

Details are here

The main points:

  • 16GM and 32GB versions will cost US$199 and $299 respectively. Old iPhone 3G will now be US$99.
  • Faster than the 3G version due to more RAM etc
  • Better camera (3 Megapix – which is all you need) and it takes video (which is big. More significant than people think it will be due to the ease of taking and uploading video – we will see a big increase in UGC activity. It’s the key reason for me buying it).

SUMMARY

Apart from that, the 3G iPhone with 3.0 software does pretty much the same things that the iPhone 3GS does, but a little slower and with not as good a camera.

So the choice is do you pay $100 extra for a good camera and for it to be faster (and don’t forget bragging rights for having it early). I would pay the extra for the extra camera, but if you don’t take and upload alot of video, I would go for the 3G at $99.

Security best practice is making things less secure

When I worked in KPMG, I used to do IT general controls reviews (pretty much the entry level for companies that wanted to use our department – Information Risk Management). Basically we would review the general IT control environment and then give feedback on how to make it stronger.

There was a passwords section for which we said:

  • make sure passwords are over 6 characters in length
  • make sure passwords have numbers as well as letters
  • make sure passwords are changed every 60 days

Well that is all BULLSHIT!… I am so sick of logging into a website where you share pictures of your dog only to be told during the sign up process “your password needs to have 6 characters in it” WHY? just in case someone hacks my account and maliciously sends out pictures of someone else’s dog? 

Remembering all the passwords is so hard for anyone to do, that you end up writing them down. Same with bank account PINs. I have them in my phone. In short the security is weakened by best practice for strengthening it. Apart from writing it down, people use the same password for their god sharing site, as well as their banks.

Something needs to be done? but what?

  • Don’t require passwords for stuff that no one gives a shit about, like dog sharing. Or allow weak ones. Don’t force people to change them.
  • People can do a few things: a) have lower level security passwords for dog sharing, and higher for banks, oer b) derive the password from the name of the site you are signing in to.
  • Work out biometrics. It has to work. Eyes, fingers, face recognition… its not that hard, surely.
  • Use your mobile phone as an RFID device with your digital signature on it, and one 4 to 8 digit code that you put in 

Anyway that is enough of the rant, I’m off home to Brooklyn to eat!

Whistling from London to Louisburg

Just thought that I would write about a trip that I took recently to Louisburg, since I seem to have gotten a load of hits from winning the whistling competition recently. My whistling related blog that I just set up is here.

In short it was excellent, and not just because I managed to win the overall “international grand champion” prize, but because everyone there were cool people, I went down with my cousin, girlfriend and her friend and stayed in a really nice place. Geert Chatrou – who is still the best classical whistler in my opinion – is excellent, so edging him out was a bit of luck – it must have been very close… he is dutch too. Must be something in our genes!

This is actually my work related blog, so may not be as interesting as non work ones. There is some stuff about me and about Steak that is non work related. But now that I am on the topic of work - I spoke to a guy (one of the other whistling funalists as it happens – Eric) who is doing some great experimental work with Augmented Reality…. very cool we will hopefully do some work together soon. I also noticed that lack of coverage that I had, losing coverage many times…. I suppose I was out in the country!

Integrated consolidated groups are not the way forward

I knew when these groups were being put together that they weren’t necessarily a good idea. We talked to a number of them in Australia and overseas initially, and recently (with the exception of Photon) have seen all of them struggling with falling share prices, layoffs and a lack of clear direction. Here are the reasons why I think they are not the way forward: 

Most mergers / acquisitions don’t deliver

I learnt this long before TigerSpike when I worked on them at KPMG. Any management degree will also tell you that mergers and acquisitions are more about egos than exploiting synergies and driving value (which should be the only reason for them).

If you look at many of the consolidated groups, they are a combination of many companies. So how can this work? When one is hard enough, how can you get value from many?

Motive is wrong

If ego or only money is the motive for these groups then that is not right. If you are not sure if it is, I’ll give you a clue – it is if it is being driven by VCs and bankers then it probably is. The Finance guys of course need to be involved, but not the ones driving it. Blue Freeway was a good example of a company that was being run to look sweet to VCs and investors without thinking about adding value to clients. They have since changed their model, but still seem to be suffering.

Some examples of reasons for mergers or acquisitions are a good idea are:

  • A company with many publishing clients buying a company with a cool piece of technology and selling that through their client network
  • Two companies with complimentary geographic footprints merging to become global and sell to clients who need a truly global footprint
  • An old media company buying a new media company to infuse the new technology, innovation and thinking into their company
  • A traditional advertising agency with many clients asking for digital services buying a company who provides these services to expand their offering to these clients
  • Two similar companies merging and saving costs by centralising support functions (if they can harmonise their processes so that the central admin guys are not just working twice as hard on each individual company’s processes) 
  • There are more, but you get the idea

The motive for these things need to be that the combined group can add value to their cleints, while either cutting costs or increasing revenues, or both. Put simply, 2 + 2 has to equal more than 4.

Technology is underestimated

Originally BlueFreeway was going to combine the platforms of all the member companies into one “Blue platform”. This sounds good (to the VCs as it builds their IP), but in practice it is never going to happen. If the tech guys in each company are anything like our tech guys, they all have their theories on the direction of tech and they are all right about those (NB: we actually are right!).

Now imaging putting them all together and trying to form a consensus on:

  1. which technology direction to take (people like Joost got it wrong initially, and paid for that) 
  2. which base technology to use – I know that half the Blue Freeway companies used .Net, and the others Java, and others
  3. how much time each tech team has to spend on the central project (our tech are fully utilised for 6 months on our own client projects. If we were part of a group, spending time on a big central project would mean that revenues would fall)

I.e its NEVER going to happen. Going back to my days overseeing technical integrations at KPMG, the banks had a really hard time integrating two of their own internal systems, and they had ten times the budget and resources that these groups do.

Building from scratch is more viable, but that takes a long time. We are on version 3 of our Phoenix platform which has been continually updated over the last 5 years. We have guys assigned to it full time. Building a new one that meets the needs of all the group companies is very very hard, and each new company purchased becomes a new complex integration project. 

People forget technology. Especially the money men or the wide boy entrepreneurs. Technology buried Boo.com. If you get it wrong you are fucked no matter how good your marketing / PR spin is.

Heart is ripped out

Most of the companies that are bought by these groups are medium sized start-ups. They are being run on the passion of the founders and every ones hearts are in it. It is “us against the world!”. When the founder cashes out, or takes orders from someone with a different direction in mind, then things change. 

When the motivation leaves these companies performance falls. Also with a larger group behind them, the long suffering underpaid staff who were doing it for the love now start to ask for more money. This is inevitable: if you are not motivated by other things, then money becomes more important, and that increases the biggest cost that these companies have. Again, performance suffers. 

Advertising is changing

But there are many groups out there. Photon is doing well, or look at WPP or any of the other big advertising groups. Why are they working?

I think that the reason is that they give the individual companies autonomy and feed them work through the other companies in the group. But to be honest, we work with many of these groups and they often don’t like each other, and often pitch against each other and try to nick work from each other’s clients. We are often engaged to help with mobile work despite the existence of a mobile company within the group.

The theory is that big global brands can go to one advertising network like WPP and get everything they need. Problem is that is not the case. The one relationship to rule them all’ doesn’t happen because the companies are not that close, and specialisms like mobile and social media are just not good enough within the agencies. We have seen many larger advertising agencies put their hand up for mobile work that they just can’t deliver, and they end up doing something stupid like QR codes when only 5% of handsets have the reader installed (creating an extra unnecessary step for consumers).

Brands are starting to go outside these big groups for 2 main reasons: 

  1. the skills they need are not within the group. No matter what the bigger guys say, the smaller agile independent digital companies will always outshine the big agencies for innovative and cool work. Which is what the brands want
  2. the big brands can exert power over the smaller companies. For example Brand X will get more personal attention from a medium sized agency for whom they are one of their largest clients, rather than from someone like Publicis for whom they are one of their smaller clients. This trend is also being seen in tech companies, where big dollars are flowing away from guys like IBM and towards medium sized technology outfits for this reason.

The risk in smaller companies

Ok, so before I get too down on them, bigger companies and groups do have some advantages over smaller companies. Smaller companies if they are good, are likely to grow. Smaller companies who grow fast may well be very profitable, but they will go bust if they are not careful. You don’t want them to go bust in the middle of your project.

They may seem cool, and exciting, but many smaller companies lack the controls and processes that larger companies have (that said, I am constantly surprised how many many larger companies are weak in this area). If you are their biggest client running their biggest project, then this is uncharted territory for them.

In summary

  • Only merge or acquire if 2+2 really does equal more than 4. Do it for the right reasons
  • If you are a brand, shop around for cool services that you want. These may well be within a group, but don’t assume that just because one group company is cool and easy to work with and do good work that the others will too
  • Make sure if you go for someone smaller that they can deliver what you need. What you don’t want to do is work with a small company who goes bust or gets so busy they can’t deliver for you
  • Go to a cool independent medium sized company like us (Oh jesus christ!.. don’t tell me that whole email was one big sales pitch for TigerSpike… haha…)

Nokia vs Apple

This blog entry is mainly about Nokia’s Ovi store. Loosely this is an App store like Apple’s, but it promises to be availble to 300m devices by 2012.

This is big. I am a big fan of apple, but iPhone sales are dwarfed by sales of Nokias. In my opinion Apple is still way ahead in terms of the phone design and useability, but Nokia (and everyone else with varying degrees of success) are all trying to copy; and as Motorola found out, you can’t just make one awesome phone (the V3) and then sit back and bask.

What does Ovi have?

  • A general app store that gives developers 70% of sales revenue (like Apple) accross 15 set price points, and charges though the carriers (after the carriers take their share (which is SHIT – carriers take 40% to 50% – there won’t be anything left!), or through credit card. Apple is way ahead in this respect, and Nokia will have to come up with some more solutions – things like Paypal will help, but one thing Nokia hasn’t got that Apple has is the billing relationship. And that matters. Alot.
  • Nokia music store does pretty much the same thing as iTunes, and also streams from your PC. It also has a recommendation engine which is good, but it isn’t as cool as Apple’s iTunes Genius (neither of which are as good as last.fm)
  • Nokia Friend view, which actually pits Nokia against Google (their new Lattitude service). I think that Google has a better chance, as their solution goes accross all platforms wheras Nokia’s is only availlable on S60 handsets at the moment. They both look cool though – check out the videos here.
  • MOSH which is Nokia’s UGC thing which I won’t go into here.
  • A games capability which Nokia will be ahead of Apple for; due to their experience with the N Gage. That said, Apple is more Wii (because of the accelarometer) and NGage is more Playstation, and I prefer Wii over Playstation. Steve Jobs doesn’t really like gaming either, so he may be missing a trick here. Games outsold DVDs this year. 

Distribution

  • iTunes has between 100m and 250m users depending on who you ask, iPhone has tens of millions
  • Nokia say that Ovi will be on 300m devices by 2012. This is bullish, but Nokia do have 40% of the global market, and there are more than 4bn connections out there (or thereabouts), and 40% of that is 1.6Bn!
  • Something else to remember is that iPhone users use their devices way more than Nokia users do – even the new Nokia devices… we will wait and see what Nokia produces to answer the iPhone. I haven’t seen anything close yet (from anyone – confirmed by our guys Nic and Simon who are at 3GSM  in Barcalona at the moment)

Can Nokia get it on the handsets?

All the new ones yes – the first one is the N97 in May, but they say that they will be able to get it on the Series 40 and 60. Through an ‘on handset’ application. Getting people to download that is by no means easy.

Also remember that Nokia will start to piss the carriers off as they will theorise that they will lose revenue (the credit card part). Who knows they may gain more (i.e. their share of the carrier charged downloads), but they will fight over it – which should be fun to watch!  The carriers need to invest in this stuff too otherwise they will become dumb pipes, which they need to either accept, or do something about. And it has to be something more impressive than Nokia and Apple, and Google can do. And that is a very tall order…

So will Nokia win?

Even considering that Nokia has just laid off a load of their R&D guys due to the recession (Not a good time to need to innovate and develop cool stuff) in summary: If Nokia can connect effectively with their handsets: i.e. all the lower end handsets download the application OR all new Nokias pre load Ovi AND they sort their billing out, AND the carriers don’t kill them, THEN they will have the biggest network in the world. Even if they do this – Apple will still be there, they won’t go away because they are too cool and they do things right and their design is beautiful.

But while Apple is “cooler” than Nokia. it isn’t by that much…. Finnish people never hurt anyone, so Maito on calistaSokeri on Halpa to you!

Interns

I was lucky enough to be an intern for Chase Manhatan (as it was then called), and they paid what I thought was pretty good money back when I was a student in London.  We have always used interns at TigerSpike. Thank god because one of our first jobs for Big Brother was built by unpaid interns.

At the time we just started and made very litle money. No one in the company had salaries. Not the interns, not the management. We had a points system so when we won work we paid whoever was involved in the sale and production. It wasn’t such a bad system in the beginning.

Yes, it was probably illegal in Australia not to pay (especially as was with us unpaid for 2 years), but had the long arm of the law come down on us, we would have had to let him and the other interns go, and we wouldn’t be where we are today – (employing over 30 people across 3 offices). The interns who worked for nothing are still with us, and are being paid now, and we are moving one of them from Sydney to London, so it all worked out in the end :)

I suppose my attitude towards this is fairly right wing. Problem is that if we got all lefty about it and had to give a ‘living wage’ to everyone, then we just wouldn’t have been able to hire anyone, and things would have been very different.

Do mini projectors mean the death of mobile sites?

In my last post I talked about mobile phones with projectors in them. This means that the small screen can become a big screen (then I saw this article about 3M designing miniature projectors today). So will this mean that all our business designing for the small screen and building mobile sites will dry up?

Well the answer is no. Even if ALL new phones have new projectors in them, it would take 18 to 24 months for those devices to get in people’s hands, so there will be 3 to 4 years before projectors become ubiquitous (god I HATE that word!). It took as long for cameras to get in all phones, which is pretty much is now; but remember the first one was on there 5 years ago.

More importantly, the nature of projectors is that you need to remain in one place (to project on to something), and the nature of mobile is that you engage alot of the the time, when you are on the move; and those two things don’t go together. 

What it does mean is that mobile TV and mobile movies become more viable. Imagine going to iTunes (or bit torrent – lets be honest) with your phone and downloading a movie, then watching it wherever you find a nice surface. And the good thing is that it will look cool (so as I said, the geeks and gadget lovers will love it).

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